Joe_Fox draw experiment - week 2

[Steven]

Odds from ######. :icon_conf

 

[Profondo Rosso]

Joe isn't just doubling it for every team rather than every match, he's actually putting the bets on seperately i.e. he put 2 £2 bets on eery game.

 

[Hazzman]

Did Joe know there's only been 4 draws out of 66 games this season in the Premiership

What a wally!

 

[MKFox]

773,296/1 for draws through the card on accumulator

 

[Steven]

Did Joe know there's only been 4 draws out of 66 games this season in the Premiership

What a wally!

We have half that number this week already. :icon_bigg

 

[Steven]

We have half that number this week already. :icon_bigg

Plus at least two more today. :icon_bigg

West Ham 2-2 Fulham
Everton 1-1 Stoke

 

[SwedeFox]

Good week, no?

 

[Joe_Fox]

With the Villa v Man City still left to go, my total stakes is £120 (20 x £2 in the first week when there were no draws (total: £40) which meant doubling up to £4 x 20 = £80).

With 8 teams drawing I won £126.40 so am a whopping £6.40 up after week 2 of my experiment with the Villa v Man City still to come (but I have already placed the bet so I am guaranteed to at least £6.40 up).

The teams I will still be betting on next time there are matches are as follows:

Arsenal
Birmingham
Blackburn
Burnley
Chelsea
Hull
Liverpool
Portsmouth
Wigan
Wolves

and maybe Villa and Man City depending on their result.

 

[Willlow]

With the Villa v Man City still left to go, my total stakes is £120 (20 x £2 in the first week when there were no draws (total: £40) which meant doubling up to £4 x 20 = £80).

With 8 teams drawing I won £126.40 so am a whopping £6.40 up after week 2 of my experiment with the Villa v Man City still to come (but I have already placed the bet so I am guaranteed to at least £6.40 up).

The teams I will still be betting on next time there are matches are as follows:

Arsenal
Birmingham
Blackburn
Burnley
Chelsea
Hull
Liverpool
Portsmouth
Wigan
Wolves

and maybe Villa and Man City depending on their result.

But technically you could still be betting on every team because the teams who have already drawn might be playing a team that hasnt drawn.

 

[Joe_Fox]

Yes, technically but remember that I have been betting £2, then £4 on EACH team rather than each match so in the first week there was 20 x £2 bet, the second week, because there were no draws in week 1 there was 20 x £4 bets and next time there will be either 10 or 12 £8 bets next time (because we don't know what will happen in the Man City v Villa match).

Looking at the next fixtures there will be either 10 or 12 bets at £8 each:

Arsenal v Birmingham - 2 bets
Aston Villa v Chelsea - 1 or 2 bets depending on Villa v Man City result
Everton v Wolverhampton - 1 bet
Man Utd v Bolton 0 bets
Portsmouth v Tottenham 1 bet
Stoke v West Ham 0 bets
Sunderland v Liverpool 1 bet
Blackburn v Burnley 2 bets
Wigan v Man City 1 or 2 bets depending on Villa v Man City result
Fulham v Hull 1 bet

 

[Willlow]

Yes, technically but remember that I have been betting £2, then £4 on EACH team rather than each match so in the first week there was 20 x £2 bet, the second week, because there were no draws in week 1 there was 20 x £4 bets and next time there will be either 10 or 12 £8 bets next time (because we don't know what will happen in the Man City v Villa match).

Looking at the next fixtures there will be either 10 or 12 bets at £8 each:

Arsenal v Birmingham - 2 bets
Aston Villa v Chelsea - 1 or 2 bets depending on Villa v Man City result
Everton v Wolverhampton - 1 bet
Man Utd v Bolton 0 bets
Portsmouth v Tottenham 1 bet
Stoke v West Ham 0 bets
Sunderland v Liverpool 1 bet
Blackburn v Burnley 2 bets
Wigan v Man City 1 or 2 bets depending on Villa v Man City result
Fulham v Hull 1 bet

Ah I see, makes much more sense now :icon_conf

 

[Steven]

From the BBC. :icon_wink On my £60 investment so far I am showing (if I use JF's figures) a £12.20 profit. :icon_bigg

Monday, 5 October 2009

Aston Villa	1-1 	Man City

Sunday, 4 October 2009

Arsenal		6-2 	Blackburn
Chelsea		2-0 	Liverpool
Everton		1-1 	Stoke
West Ham	2-2 	Fulham

Saturday, 3 October 2009

Bolton		2-2 	Tottenham
Burnley		2-1 	Birmingham
Hull		2-1 	Wigan
Man Utd		2-2 	Sunderland
Wolverhampton	0-1 	Portsmouth

 

[Steven]

On checking vBookie I am in fact £6 down. I think some will be lost in rounding and some may be subject to non-software calculation error. :icon_conf

 

[Joe_Fox]

After the Villa v Man City draw I am now £32.40 in profit with ten teams left to bet on.

 

[bocadillo]

I am £6 down

I am now £32.40 in profit

This is two people doing the same experiment with the same starting prices, right?

 

[Joe_Fox]

I don't think Steven is doing it the same as me. I've got a spreadsheet on which I am doing it properly. I think Steven is betting on the matches rather than per team.
I can send you the spreadsheet to look at if you like Boc. pm me your email address if you want to have a look at it.