Relegation Stats

[step]

42 points, 99.97 chance of relegation
44 points, 95% chance of relegation
46 points, 85% chance of relegation
48 points, 50% chance of relegation
50 points, 20% chance of relegation
52 points, 5% chance of relegation
54 points. 0.03% chance of relegation


Points and goal difference of teams third from bottom at end of season

Year.........Points........GD

04............ 51............ -20
03.............46............-17
02............ 49............ -29
01............ 48.............-9
00............ 46.............-25
99............ 47............ -25
98............48..............-1
97............ 46............ -21
96............ 52............ -20
95............ 46............ -25
94............ 51............ -17
93............ 49............ -19

Some real statistics
Average....48............ -19
Std dev.......2...............8
UCL..........55...............4
LCL...........42............-42

Based on the previous results, Statistically, it would not be unreasonable for a team with 55 points and a goal difference of +4 to be third from bottom and to get relegated.

Equally, It would be reasonable for a team with 45 points and goal difference of -37 to be forth from bottom and therefore not to get religated.

The odds of a team with more than 55 points being relegated are very slim. Equally the odds of a team with 38 points or less, not to get religated are very slim.

Only once has a team with more than 52 points been religated from this league.

 

[OldGit]

Warning: Teams can go down as well as up. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

 

[Han]

Warning: Teams can go down as well as up. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

haha wicked :icon_lol:

quite possibly the most boring line we have to use at work, the first itime i've seen it in a joke

 

[DesertFox]

Oh dear... we are fecked...

 

[Spanky Fox]

if luton lose on the weeked, does that mean they are relegated, and what about southend, and leeds losing and all the teams above them winning??

 

[Durham Fox]

You can forget about Luton Spanky.

 

[Spanky Fox]

You can forget about Luton Spanky.

thats good news durham because that means two spots left and 5 teams invloved, southend are going down so 1 spot and 4 teams which means it is open but we will do it and suvive

 

[Durham Fox]

thats good news durham because that means two spots left and 5 teams invloved, southend are going down so 1 spot and 4 teams which means it is open but we will do it and suvive

Southend are far from relegated

 

[Spanky Fox]

Southend are far from relegated

and there 5 points away from us which means if we win and they lose that they are relegated because then there will be two games left and a total of 6points so a win for us agaist preston and a draw means that we will be 100% safe.

 

[stevewalshwasgod]

and there 5 points away from us which means if we win and they lose that they are relegated because then there will be two games left and a total of 6points so a win for us agaist preston and a draw means that we will be 100% safe.

we need to win! come on boys!