drummindefender
Active Member
wait we only need a win to be promoted?
The Magic Number
- Thread starter Joe_Fox
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- Status
Nottingham Fox
Moderator
Stevens magic number is on current form.
Steven
Active Member
drummindefender
Active Member
damn i was all excited for a moment.
Brauny Blue
Active Member
Billyjof
Well-Known Member
We might already have enough
You might be right but would be nice to nick the championship as well.
I think P'boro's run will have to come to an end soon. Fair play to them they've done well, deserve it on recent form.
Brauny Blue
Active Member
In the context of the season, our away win at Millwall looks massive now
Last edited:
Willlow
Well-Known Member
Steven
Active Member
That would ensure promotion. :icon_wink
Spanky Fox
New Member
how is that possible when there are another 6 games left and we are only ahead by 9 points from 3rd? if its still 9 points in 3 games time then we are promoted.
Willlow
Well-Known Member
Steven is working to his own magic number :icon_wink
Steven
Active Member
You are assuming that one or more sides are suddenly going to start performing better than they have done for the rest of the season. Possible but unlikely. :icon_bigg :icon_wink
On that basis one more win would put us beyond what Millwall are likely to achieve on their showing so far this season. :icon_bigg :icon_wink
And you are assuming they won't. It's unlikely that every team will perform exactly how they have this season so far. Some will do better, some will do worse.
Your magic number went up a couple of weeks ago, so it's obviously not a real target. It could go up again.
The only real target we should have is one that make promotion a mathematical certainty, not one based on silly predictions.
Steven
Active Member
:icon_conf :icon_sad:
- We are still moving towards the final average so variations are likely to be small
- So could any "magic number" move wrt the form of a side
- As the number for "mathematical certainty" changes with each game is it not the case that any prediction is "silly"?
[*]As the number for "mathematical certainty" changes with each game is it not the case that any prediction is "silly"?
[/LIST]
But this thread is not a 'prediction', it's about the actual number of points that would guarantee promotion. Unlike your system, this number will never go up, so if we say x more points will guarantee promotion, it's a fact. If you say x is the magic number, it may or may not be, it's just a prediction.
- Status
| P | Pld | Pts | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Nottm F | 22 | 44 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 22 | 40 |
| 5 | Manchester C | 22 | 38 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 37 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 36 |
| 9 | Brighton | 22 | 34 |
| 10 | Fulham | 22 | 33 |
| 11 | Brentford | 22 | 28 |
| 12 | Palace | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | Manchester U | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | West Ham | 22 | 26 |
| 15 | Tottenham | 22 | 24 |
| 16 | Everton | 21 | 20 |
| 17 | Wolves | 22 | 16 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 22 | 16 |
| 19 | Leicester | 22 | 14 |
| 20 | Southampton | 22 | 6 |
