Latest odds for promotion

[Joe_Fox]

Nottingham Forest 5/2
Cardiff City 5/2
Leicester City 3
Blackpool 5
Swansea City 14

So, if you disregard the home advantage (which I'd suggest should lengthen the odds by about 1.5), it looks like the bookies have made us favourites.

Says it all really.

 

[Spanky Fox]

I rather have us not being favourites.

 

[camberwell fox]

Nottingham Forest 5/2
Cardiff City 5/2
Leicester City 3
Blackpool 5
Swansea City 14

So, if you disregard the home advantage (which I'd suggest should lengthen the odds by about 1.5), it looks like the bookies have made us favourites.

Says it all really.

Uh?

 

[fcukcov]

Nottingham Forest 5/2
Cardiff City 5/2
Leicester City 3
Blackpool 5
Swansea City 14

So, if you disregard the home advantage (which I'd suggest should lengthen the odds by about 1.5), it looks like the bookies have made us favourites.

Says it all really.

I love it when you just pluck figures out of the air Joe_.

 

[tedfoxxx]

Spreadsheet?

 

[Blue Maniac]

Joe's a genius.

 

[Willlow]

Joe's a moron.

Cant argue with that!

 

[Blue Maniac]

Cant argue with that!

:icon_lol:

 

[Darth Vodka]

So, if you disregard the odds it looks like the bookies have made us favourites.

:icon_bigg

 

[SwedeFox]

I'd say the Swansea odds is calculated on them being in a shitty position and having a weaker squad than us, Forest and Cardiff - that should lengthen the odds by 12.75 or so.

If you disregard that, they are considered favourites - bit of a shock really

 

[camberwell fox]

I'd say the Swansea odds is calculated on them being in a shitty position and having a weaker squad than us, Forest and Cardiff - that should lengthen the odds by 12.75 or so.

If you disregard that, they are considered favourites - bit of a shock really

i don't think you've factored into the equation whether or not they can plug their computer into their sofa, this could shorten their odds by as much as 0.75%.

 

[4-4-2]

Nottingham Forest 5/2
Cardiff City 5/2
Leicester City 3
Blackpool 5
Swansea City 14

So, if you disregard the home advantage (which I'd suggest should lengthen the odds by about 1.5), it looks like the bookies have made us favourites.

Says it all really.

How can you disregard something that's rather important? It doesn't make any logical sense.

 

[DesertFox]

If you disregard all the other teams, we're nailed on!

 

[LCFCmonkey]

I checked, and disregarded the top-half of the league, and now QPR are favourites. Now I don't know what to do...

 

[Darth Vodka]

if you ignore the advantage of having better players, Peterborough are promoted

 

[Real Sharapova]

if you ignore Joe_Fox's quite mental flights of fancy you won't go far wrong.

Ditto to that.

 

[Joe_Fox]

Faired income, I was a bit rash in posting this. But I stand by what I meant - disregarding home advantage which, as past playoffs results prove, really isn't much of an advantage, the bookies have made us favourites.

 

[Darth Vodka]

as past playoffs results prove.

er....utter rubbish, the 3rd team goes through most of the time

 

[bocadillo]

er....utter rubbish, the 3rd team goes through most of the time

I don't think that is true. It may be that the 3rd (or 4th in League Two) goes through more than any other individual play-off club - but that is not the same as going through "most of the time".

 

[Jeff]

So, if you disregard the home advantage (which I'd suggest should lengthen the odds by about 1.5)

The matches are over two legs Joe_

If it was a one off match maybe home advantage would make the kind of difference you say, but the advantage of playing at home in the second leg doesn't make that much difference.