The champagne on ice thread

[City Fan]

No - it is now not possible for us to finish anywhere near as low as 22nd.

Whilst obviously with teams taking points off each other its probaly already impossible for us to finish any lower than 8th or 9th.

Just for fun though i'll count the teams off as they can no longer catch us.

:icon_wink

 

[Brauny Blue]

Surely a very significant afternoon for us in our return to the championship. A little more work to do, but we can almost fall over the line from this position.

Anyway this is the thread to take us all the way through to promotion and the title.
Whilst obviously with teams taking points off each other its probaly already impossible for us to finish any lower than 8th or 9th.

Just for fun though i'll count the teams off as they can no longer catch us.

So after todays results Cheltenham are the first team that can no longer score more points than us.

Goodbye.........Cheltenham

LEICESTERS LOWEST LGE POSITION IS NOW..........23RD.

:icon_wink

He will never get over this. I fully expect that i will be deducted points in the prediction lge, and relegation is now a certainty

:icon_bigg

 

[bocadillo]

He will never get over this. I fully expect that i will be deducted points in the prediction lge, and relegation is now a certainty

:icon_bigg

Why not just say that the 23rd club can't now catch us - then it would need zero words of explanation and qualification.

 

[Brauny Blue]

Why not just say that the 23rd club can't now catch us - then it would need zero words of explanation and qualification.

I think its simple enough, and most people seem to have grasped the idea of the thread :icon_wink

 

[highland fox]

Here is my spreadsheet.

Team			P	Pts	Goals 	Goal	Points	Games		Maximum	
					Diff	Scored	InFront	InFront		Possible
Leicester 		34	74	36	64				110	
Milton Keynes Dons 	32	62	28	64	12	5		104	37
Peterborough 		34	60	16	60	14	5		96	39
Oldham 			34	57	11	54	17	6		93	40
Millwall	 	32	55	7	45	19	7		97	39
Leeds 			33	54	13	53	20	7		93	40
Scunthorpe 		32	53	9	56	21	8		95	40
Stockport 		34	52	12	50	22	8		88	42
Tranmere 		33	52	7	45	22	8		91	41
Huddersfield 		33	48	-4	43	26	9		87	42
Walsall 		33	46	1	47	28	10		85	43
Colchester 		33	46	1	45	28	10		85	43
Southend 		33	46	-8	39	28	10		85	43
Bristol Rovers 		32	43	9	53	31	11		85	43
Hartlepool 		34	40	-6	48	34	12		76	46
Northampton 		32	37	-1	42	37	13		79	45
Carlisle 		33	37	-9	42	37	13		76	46
Yeovil 			33	37	-16	31	37	13		76	46
Crewe 			32	34	-17	44	40	14		76	46
Swindon 		32	33	-8	45	41	14		75	46
Leyton Orient 		33	33	-15	26	41	14		72	47
Brighton 		32	32	-15	35	42	15		74	47
Hereford 		31	30	-16	31	44	15		75	46
Cheltenham 		32	21	-35	37	53	18		63	50

Steven, you really do need to get out more

 

[homer]

Steven, you really do need to get out more

It's really much safer for all of us if he stays locked in

 

[Spanky Fox]

If results go our way and we carrying on winning/drawning, what is the earliest we can get promoted?

 

[SJN-Fox]

If results go our way and we carrying on winning/drawning, what is the earliest we can get promoted?

Probably about 10 to 5

 

[Real Sharapova]

If results go our way and we carrying on winning/drawning, what is the earliest we can get promoted?

Impossible to say I would guess as some of our challengers have fixtures between them. Could be wrong, so expect a spreadsheet of some sort from Steven soon.

 

[Mike - True Blue Tinter]

If results go our way and we carrying on winning/drawning, what is the earliest we can get promoted?

Over the last 10 years the average points for finishing 2nd has been 85, min 79, max 91.

Bearing in mind that 4 of the next 5 opponents are sniffing around at the play-off places, by 10 to 5 on Saturday March 21, when Colchester come to town, we could have a maximum by then of 89 points.

I would say that is probably the earliest 'Party Time' and we still have 3 more home 'Party Times' to follow after that!

My dream game would be Monday April 13th when we cannot be caught by MK Dons and are champions and, cherry on the cake, we beat Leeds and they cannot make the play-offs!

 

[Brauny Blue]

Despite another home draw both Crewe and Swindon can no longer catch the City. This means City can not be caught by 4 teams, so the relegation hurdle as been passed:icon_bigg. ( someone now reminds me that because teams have to play each other its not possible to finish anywhere near the bottom:icon_roll)
Ironically two teams in the bottom 4 still can catch us

Teams out of the reckoning

Cheltenham
Leyton Orient.
Swindon
Crewe.

Leicesters lowest league position is now 20th

 

[Steven]

Team			P	Pts	Goals 	Goal 	Points	Games		Maximum 	
					Diff	Scored	InFront	InFront		Possible
						
Leicester 		35	75	36	65				108	
Peterborough 		35	63	17	63	12	5		96	40
Milton Keynes Dons 	32	62	28	64	13	5		104	37
Oldham 			35	58	11	55	17	6		91	41
Millwall 		33	58	8	46	17	6		97	39
Leeds 			34	55	13	54	20	7		91	41
Scunthorpe 		33	54	9	57	21	8		93	41
Stockport 		35	53	12	51	22	8		86	43
Tranmere 		34	52	6	46	23	8		88	42
Huddersfield 		34	49	-4	45	26	9		85	43
Walsall 		34	47	1	48	28	10		83	44
Colchester 		34	47	1	47	28	10		83	44
Southend 		34	46	-9	39	29	10		82	44
Bristol Rovers 		32	43	9	53	32	11		85	43
Hartlepool 		35	43	-5	50	32	11		76	46
Carlisle 		34	40	-8	44	35	12		76	46
Northampton 		32	37	-1	42	38	13		79	45
Yeovil 			33	37	-16	31	38	13		76	46
Swindon 		33	34	-8	47	41	14		73	47
Crewe 			33	34	-18	45	41	14		73	47
Leyton Orient 		34	33	-16	28	42	15		69	49
Brighton 		32	32	-15	35	43	15		74	47
Hereford 		31	30	-16	31	45	16		75	47
Cheltenham 		33	22	-35	39	53	18		61	51

 

[Scarby]

isnt our max point total 102?

 

[Jeff]

isnt our max point total 102?

No.

 

[Scarby]

No.

my bad, i only counted the season as 44 games rather than 46

 

[foxybru]

I don't think Brighton can catch us either... 43pts behind and only 42 up for grabs to them.

...and Hereford can only draw level on points with us (realising they would go above us if they turn round a 52 goal difference deficit....)

 

[Granite Fox]

I don't think any of our rivals will average more than 2 points per game over the rest of the season (after all that is more than they have averaged so far).

That being the case we need 5 points from 11 to make the playoffs and only 10 or 11 more points to secure automatic promotion.

Points total if they all achieved 2 points per game over the remainder of the season:

Foxes (currently 75, only 1 point per game would take them to 86 pts)
MK Dons 90 points
Posh 85 points
Millwall 84 points
Oldham 80 points
Scunthorpe 80 points
Leeds 79 pts
Tranmere 76 pts
Stockport 75 pts

We should be more focused on next season than this season (as fans, not the players or management), although we have not crossed the finish line just yet.

 

[cleefox]

I don't think any of our rivals will average more than 2 points per game over the rest of the season (after all that is more than they have averaged so far).

That being the case we need 5 points from 11 to make the playoffs and only 10 or 11 more points to secure automatic promotion.

Points total if they all achieved 2 points per game over the remainder of the season:

Foxes (currently 75, only 1 point per game would take them to 86 pts)
MK Dons 90 points
Posh 85 points
Millwall 84 points
Oldham 80 points
Scunthorpe 80 points
Leeds 79 pts
Tranmere 76 pts
Stockport 75 pts

We should be more focused on next season than this season (as fans, not the players or management), although we have not crossed the finish line just yet.

Interesting reading. Hope it is not as close as that, my nerves will be shredded. :icon_bigg

 

[Brauny Blue]

I don't think Brighton can catch us either... 43pts behind and only 42 up for grabs to them.

...and Hereford can only draw level on points with us (realising they would go above us if they turn round a 52 goal difference deficit....)

This is true

Teams out of the reckoning

Cheltenham
Leyton Orient.
Swindon
Crewe.
Brighton

LEICESTERS LOWEST LGE POSITION IS 19TH

 

[beaumontfox]

So that throws celebrating at Millwall out of the question then...(which isn't such a bad thing)