I think if we lose by less than 3 then we'll take it. Very tough game this one, made harder by our lack of midfield options. 4-5-1 doesn't seem to be an option, although I think we might go for it with Nugent dropping in behind Ulloa. Expect Albrighton to come in for Knocky because he's more likely to help out defensively.
Mourinho's team often don't go hunting huge victories, they'll tend to relax when they get a couple in front, as they did against Burnley. But at home, particularly first home game of the season, I think that will be different.
The way they take their foot off the pedal with a two goal lead will cost them a couple of times this season I think, but I don't think today will be one of them.
I'm going for 4-1 Chelsea.