NP has earned the right to have a go at being a Premier League manager. He got us here, although I will always argue that he had one of the biggest budgets and doing it at the fourth attempt was hardly earth-shattering management.
But the fact is, that he did it in style and it would have been ridiculous to not give him a new contract and let him try to do it his way. However, this was always going to be a huge gamble. He's never managed at this level before, aside from a handful of games as caretaker. I'd also argue that he's never shown the sort of tactical sophistication to suggest he's got what it takes.
He's a 4-4-2 man. He always has been and he's said as much many, many times. Whenever he's played another way, he's been quite obviously uncomfortable with it. Therein, lies a major problem. Nobody but an exceptional team can get away with playing that formation in the Premier League. Teams can outplay it too easily. So NP is having to do something that he doesn't want to and has shown no ability to.
Another issue is the motivation for many players, and NP, last season was contracts running out and a sense that it was this season or it was over. They had a hunger and a pressure to achieve. I just don't see anything like that this time around. It's like the party after the hard work.
Finally, something stinks about the recruitment policy over the summer. We signed eight players, only two of whom have had any sort of chance in the team. So without last season's best side (letting Dyer go) or last season's best formation (4-4-2), we're trying to make it at a much higher level with pretty much the same group. This makes no sense whatsoever.
These factors have lead to a scenario where we're playing pretty weak line ups with a confused formation against much sharper and smarter opposition. Now that the confidence from last season has gone we need a strategy to get points. In our last few games, we've set up to try for 0-0 and hope that we get a break or our opponents don't turn up. That isn't an effective strategy and can only possibly lead to a humiliating relegation.
And what does our manager say or do about this? Well in public, he has started to blame the players. It started with blaming mistakes and has now developed to blaming them for poor delivery, poor finishing, poor defending and so on. That isn't an effective plan for a team lacking confidence and direction.
If we stick with NP no matter what and we go down thinking he's the best man to take us up again. Then what? He's already shown that he can't adapt to Premier League management. So is the best case scenario under him to go down feebly, then come up again and over and over?
NP has done some terrific things at this club. His improvement in our scouting, development of young players, sports science, etc. He's made the club organised and effective. But if we aspire to be a Premier League club, this isn't enough.
I think if there is a better option with a proven record in Premier League management, it would be absurd to stick our heads in the sand. The reality is, that there is the perfect option for us out there right now that some other club will take if we don't. Tony Pulis will virtually guarantee we survive and build at this level and that's exactly what we need. He knows and has worked well with our Director of Football so the way in is obvious. If we stick with NP until January and we're adrift and Pulis is elsewhere, we've seriously fecked up.
For me, we win against Sunderland or get a much improved performance and a point or he's got to go and we've got to make that switch. As other have said, it's taken us ten long, painful years to get back here. We must do everything possible to stay up.